They
built it, but the shoppers didn't come.
New South
China Mall in Guangdong Province opened in 2005.
With 5
million square feet of shopping area, the mall can accommodate 2,350 stores,
making it the largest shopping center in the world in terms of leasable space
-- more than twice the size of Mall of America, the biggest shopping center in
the United States.
At the outdoor
plaza, hundreds of palm-trees blend with a replica Arc de Triomphe, a giant
Egyptian sphinx, fountains and long-stretching canals with gondolas.
Only
problem is, the mall is virtually deserted. Despite the bombastic design and
grand plans, only a handful of stores are occupied. "Most of it empty,
with little consumer traffic and a high vacancy rate," according to a report
last year by Emporis, a global building data firm. "It has been classified
as a 'dead mall.'"
Walking
among shattered shops -- its dusty corridors and escalators covered in soiled
sheets -- is a walk through a ghost mall. Rubbish piles up along the sides,
paint is coming off the walls and store signs and advertisements have faded.
The
mall's indoor amusement park, staff lay half asleep over counters or kills time
chatting with each other while the 1,814-foot rollercoaster roars above.
Politician throws computers at airport
Opened
for the public in 2005, developers expected to attract some 100,000 visitors a
day. But eight years later, the few people that visit the mall today typically
hang out at the American fast food restaurants near the entrance or at the IMAX
cinema outside the mall. Some parents bring their children to the Teletubbies
Edutainment Center.
Part of
the problem is location. Dongguan is a factory town and most of its almost 10
million inhabitants are migrant workers struggling to make ends meet.
"People coming here to work in factories don't have the time or the money
for shopping or the rollercoaster," said a migrant worker in his 20s,
surnamed Xiao, who works at the mall.
The
deserted mall is also a symbol of China's rapid urbanization and runaway
investment in real estate projects, where massive development projects have
been given the go ahead without proper marketing and business research.
"To
me, many of these projects are a result of easy access to capital and a
combination of wishful thinking and speculative behavior rather than rational
business calculations," said Victor Teo, assistant professor at the
University of Hong Kong.
"This
mall is not the only one that is like that. Elsewhere in China there is the
phenomenon of 'Ghost Towns', that is to say infrastructure projects, both
residential and commercial, with no takers."
The
credit boom of post-financial crisis stimulus has resulted in a proliferation
of empty commercial developments and apartments built on rampant speculation.
Yet why is the Chinese economy still moving at a brisk 7% to 8% growth rate?
"What
China did in the stimulus credit boom is create a lot of `ghost cities':
projects without a strong commercial foundation, and projects that didn't get
done," wrote Jonathan Anderson in a research note entitled "Hurray
for Ghost Cities" from Emerging Advisors Group last month. "What
happens next?
"In
most of the economy ... nothing. You haven't created a lot of new productive
capacity; you're not driving down profits and returns in manufacturing and
services, and you've left plenty of room for a rebound in the market-oriented
property space.
"Rather,
for all intents and purposes you just took the money and poured it down a black
hole," Anderson wrote. And the Chinese banking system "has
surprisingly little trouble absorbing that bad debt."
But while
the macroeconomic juggernaut of China marches on, there remain regional areas
of woe. Dongguan is facing mounting problems as factories close down and
manufacturing moves to other cities in China and abroad, which offer cheaper
labor.
Still,
the mall has plans to boost the number of tenants, said Ye Ji Ning, head of New
South China Mall's investment unit. He claims the mall has a 20% occupancy rate
measured by commercial area, although Ye declined to give specifics when
challenged on that number. The company's goal is to increase occupancy to 80%
in 2013, he said.
"From
March onwards we will have big promotional activities in order to reach our new
leasing targets," Ye said.
It's not
the first time the owners try to blow life into the sleeping giant. Dongguan
native Alex Hu Guirong, who became a billionaire in the instant noodle
business, and later sold to the Founders Group, a conglomerate set up by Peking
University, initially headed the mall.
In a 2007
relaunch, the mall-changed name from "South China Mall" to "New
South China Mall, Living City" and a revitalization plan was drawn up. But
after the relaunch, neither shoppers nor tenants came.
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